Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.138370 0.201937 0.275268 0.363882 0.466103 0.578657 0.710403
2026-01-18 0.064794 0.141562 0.246316 0.387810 0.564801 0.771752 1.025733
2026-01-25 0.029541 0.102425 0.219233 0.391139 0.618169 0.893523 1.240643
2026-02-01 0.006810 0.062097 0.176197 0.362773 0.624100 0.952883 1.378067
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.032062 0.134951 0.326198 0.611138 0.982605 1.474426
2026-02-15 NaN 0.017847 0.114063 0.314657 0.628186 1.047553 1.611916
2026-02-22 NaN 0.011207 0.105575 0.320896 0.668914 1.142427 1.786399
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005456 0.093241 0.317504 0.693867 1.215418 1.932592
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001222 0.075732 0.300309 0.695626 1.255680 2.035839
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000852 0.079753 0.326338 0.764526 1.387951 2.258508
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000596 0.084126 0.353140 0.834841 1.522489 2.484587
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000174 0.083303 0.368398 0.886764 1.631717 2.677966
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000173 0.091343 0.405156 0.976233 1.797244 2.950560
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000052 0.094613 0.431711 1.050192 1.942481 3.198416
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.088020 0.434936 1.085896 2.034011 3.375654
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.068931 0.404927 1.065296 2.045395 3.446754
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.049148 0.366023 1.026288 2.028404 3.478548
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.040373 0.353733 1.031176 2.073216 3.591754
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.038003 0.360380 1.069302 2.166343 3.770020
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.032962 0.356767 1.088529 2.231603 3.910650
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.024760 0.338430 1.079649 2.254748 3.993793
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.028288 0.366176 1.156663 2.405791 4.251370
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.032049 0.394681 1.235133 2.559126 4.512277